Parker's Poll: Up By 13

Well, we gots us a new poll to play with. This one has Parker's team showing her up by 13. And once more, the methodology being used seems very plausible for the nature of this election.

Worth highlighting that the polling memo characterizes the voter screen thusly:

... among likely voters with previous participation in past city runoff elections

Parker's pollster was pretty close last time and their screening pattern seemed to be notably better than the media polls out then. Locke's team did not release a poll in the first round (which was telling), while their runoff poll, as told by Bill King, indicated that it was "modeled on a 170,000-voter turnout in the election." That has a very different meaning than describing a likely voter screen and it would be interesting to have some answers to a few details about how the polls were done in order to interpret the meaning of each.