The Line on Pennsylvania

I'll put my marker down on LtBlue-57. That's what I think Hillary has to get to make the most convincing case that Obama has a genuine problem in the big states and likewise that she still has a strong case to make for the nomination. Mind you, I think she can hang in the race with even the most modest of wins, just that her argument is weakened and voters in the remaining states start to move toward just wrapping things up.

If there's one reason for caution in the latest batch of polls, it's that the undecideds strike me as incredibly high. I'm not sure if that's reflective of a possible Hillary romp among undecideds, an Obama surprise win, or just that it reflects folks equally unsure of even voting - and hence, not really a factor in the math.

UPDATE: Polls closed and the early exits don't look like they're going to show the resounding victory Team Hillary is hoping for. A victory ... just not a convincing one.