UberTuesday: What to Expect?

Well, my official hope is for a great night by Hillary. But it certainly looks as if Obama might have caught up just enough - at least in the key, big states. And let me add that hte polling in this cycle has been a crapshoot. Maybe it's not quite the fault of polling in general, I don't know. You've had Iowa and New Hampshire effectively decided over the holiday season. Everything after that has had a short lead time and an unpredictable electorate to account for. It's tough to even average out the divergent methodologies of various pollsters. Mathematically, it looks fairly even on the Dem side. My hunch at this point is that Obama comes out ahead one way or the other - either in terms of delegate counts or he picks up California and the delegate count is close.

If there's a broad-based Hillary win, however, I would only hope that there's a bit of credit given where it's due. Obama certainly earned his fair share of praise for amping up turnout in Iowa while picking up the win. But by my calculation, Hillary had the same outcome in New Hampshire ... yet with nobody in the media saying "Gee, Hillary really drove turnout here!" I guess if you're a chick, they only care if you shed tears. That strikes me as yet another sad indictment of mainstream media coverage.

As for me, I'll be watching the outcome with Team Skelly at Cafe Adobe.

On the Republican side, I think this is the final chapter for Romney. At least, I think it should be. It still confounds me as to how he's still even within range of winning California and that would be a huge monkey wrench in the plans of establishment Republicans. Does that suggest anything about the depth of any McCain hatred among the GOP ranks? Guess we'll see by taking a headcount of who's on board the bandwagon by Convention time. I still think the vast majority of those who were saying McCain was too liberal back in 2003 will magically find it within their Republican hearts to rationalize their shift. Something about that letter next to his name, I suppose.