Florida: Tossup 2.0

So I was bogged down a bit to speculate on South Carolina for the Democratic side of the equation. About all that's left to say is "Ouch!" Nearly 30 points? I've got to think that moves some numbers in the Feb. 5 states, but I'll wait till there's more polling after that cutoff date before making any firm predictions.

Tomorrow, of course, is the day we get to see who wins Florida for the GOP. As it stands, it's about as close as you can get between McCain and Romney ... which sucks if your name is Giuliani. And what of Huckmentum?

The conventional wisdom certainly seems that if McCain wins Florida, then Feb. 5 belongs to him. And if Romney wins, it's game-on for Feb. 5. I don't find a lot to quarrel with on that analysis. I'm still a bit confounded as to how Romney is still even around, but I think the leading cause of that may be the lingering Republican dissatisfaction with McCain. The good news - for Dems - is that the race can only come down to one of them. And whatever dissatisfaction may exist in the primaries may still have an impact in November. It's hard to believe they can make that ground up by going around and telling people that Hillary Clinton wants to be President.

So who wins Florida? I'll put a chit on McCain, but I'd obviously love to see Romney declaring victory.