Apologies for Slow Blogging [UPDATED]
Sorry for the slow pace of blogging these days. Note to self: look into Andrew Sullivan's business model for myself. In the meantime, here's a sampler of what's on my plate:
» Mike Huckabee wants to amend the Constitution to "God's standard."
» John McCain has some thoughts on "the hope of mankind" that might come as a surprise to some of the folks who Huckabee was pandering to.
» Michael Skelly - one of the local good guys - gets some run in the Houston Business Journal. Full text available here.
» Predictions? I'm going to go out on a limb and say Hillary gets about 99% in Michigan -- give or take a point. For the GOP side, no clue. But if Romney loses, it's hard to see how he leaves the race much later with any more dignity than he already dropped when he started making up his issue positions for this year. Even if he wins, it's bound to be a one-off event.
UPDATE: CNN is already calling Michigan for Romney. Again, my sense is that Michigan's outcome is small potatoes for the overall race. But it's especially small for Romney. His best bet is to keep finishing second or a close third from here on out and hope that the race is a war of attrition. I'm not sure it is. Once Fred & Rudy are out (and it's not entirely clear how soon each might bolt), I have a hard time seeing those folks go to Mitt. It seems to be a safer bet that they'd move over to coronate whoever the frontrunner is at the time of departure - at this point, presumably McCain.
Now, from that point on, it's still likely to be a battle between Huck & McCain. That's the type of split that could genuinely portray any possible "conservative crackup." If Huck wins in areas where social conservatives are strong with McCain winning where they aren't ... it could be damaging for them. It's that conclusion that leads me to believe that it might not quite come down to those two.
But if not them ... who? For junkies like me, that's what ya gotta love about politics. McCain's "comeback"-let has already been met with some old-guard harrumphing. Bottom line is that whoever the GOP nominee is, it seems incredibly likely that they've gotten there by ticking off a substantial base of GOP voters.
Of course, on the Dem side ... it's all Hill. I was under the mistaken impression that she was literally the only name on the ballot. In fact, there's two cranks and a Dodd ... and also an option for uncommitted. Still, she's winning about 60%. Nothing significant to brag about, but I'd have to think a second-place finish to uncommitted would certainly revive some of the "Hillary is toast" commentary. Then again, a mere 12% of the votes are in.
On the whole, turnout seems to have been somewhere in the neighborhood of suck. What that means, I'll leave for the pundits. Nevada & SC are a bit more interesting to me at the moment.
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