Iowa: Some What-Ifs (R)

In my previous posts on the Iowa caucuses, I made repeated references to "perceived momentum" and words to that effect. The Huckabee press conference/fiasco probably fits that description. If the guy loses, it'll be blamed on that. If he wins, it's still a relevant issue that makes him wide open to attack.

RCP now has Romney ahead on their averaging. There's good reason to expect the outcome between him and Huck to be close. I still think Huck wins it. But the most malleable aspect of the race seems to be Huck's personal appeal that makes him the favorite second choice of people. I would have said he was the hands-down favorite for that after the Iowa straw poll on out. But with his increased spotlight, there's been a certain wilting of his appeal.

Is it enough to make a difference? I dunno. But it's enough to put away in the memory banks for how politicians ruin themselves in the process of running for President. Remember how John Glenn was an American hero before his entry in 1984? Yeah, it happens to the best of 'em.

My pick still stands, but it's looking wobblier and wobblier by the press conference.