E-Day 2007
Coupla things on this busiest of day ...
A) I'm still old, so get off my lawn.
B) It's election day, so make sure you voted. If you need some help, here's my recommendations. If you want to know who's gonna win, here's my guesses. Matt wants estimates on the Mayoral margin. Kuff offers his. I'm in agreement w/ Kuff except for the Mayor's margin. It's impossible to see 90%+ in a third term. 80-85% is realistic. The Chron reporters are blogging updates here. I'll have a spreadsheet with some updates later in the day. Otherwise, I've got three monitors to crank out results for numerous races. This is, after all, how number geeks warm up for a Presidential year.
C) Something else, something else. Can't remember. Stupid alzheimers!
UPDATE: Spreadsheet of results here.
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As a rabid Bill White partisan, would I be accused of trying to drive down expectations if I said that anything above 70% is fine?
There are a few sources of "no" votes that could be activated this time, and if low turnout makes those votes seem significant, I don't think that should be considered a rebuke. In Republican precinct, compare not the percentage of votes for and against the Mayor, but the number of votes.
Likewise, precincts where some people oppose either the HISD bond issue or some other bond issue may include some number of voters who vote against White, too.