GregsOpinion.com

Barring any big shift in events, the Houston mayoral race is Bill White's to lose. George Strong predicts a 59% win ... my own thoughts before reading that was that White should win, but that it would clock in at 55% or less. This is, after all, an open election, or so my thinking went. Kuff takes the news about Sanchez's Hispanic problem and comments freely. I can't really add much more to it than Kuff has. The problem in a nutshell: Hispanics, in increasing numbers, have figured out that Sanchez is not one of them. That breaks up the Hispanic/GOP convergence and gives Bill White half the Anglo vote, 90% of the African American vote, and 60% of Hispanics (Strong's estimate). Kuff points out that even if 100% of Hispanics went for Sanchez, it wouldn't be enough ... he won 72% in a race that had 18% of the voters as Hispanic last time.

Sanchez, meanwhile, continues his mad dash to the right ... Why? Nobody knows, really. It would be interesting to see if Sanchez learns from that error in a timely manner.

I did have an opportunity to see At Large candidate Ron Green at a recent event for Congressman Chris Bell. Rather impressive personality ... could be worth keeping an eye out for if he wins. I hope he has the dough to compete. Also met with a campaign pro involved in the Peter Brown campaign. His frustration at the low showing in that race wasn't all too gloomy ... more of a reflection of the demographics of the election and a low name-ID race. Also met the candidate who will take on State Rep. Herman Talmadge in 2004. A fun time was had by all. Also saw City Councilwoman Carol Alvarado briefly. I'll simply note that the pic on her site does not do her justice and attempt to leave it at that. A fun time was had by all.

Meanwhile: There's this on the Controller's race.